Solana, Dogecoin Tokens Dip as Futures Suggests Bearish Sentiment

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Tokens of Solana (SOL) and Dogecoin (DOGE) dipped the most among the major cryptocurrencies even as bitcoin remained mostly unchanged over the past 24 hours.

SOL lost as much as 8% amid a continual “risk-off” sentiment for major cryptocurrencies. DOGE dropped 5%, while BNB Chain’s BNB, Cardano’s ADA, and XRP slid a relatively lesser 3.5%, data on CoinGecko showed.

Outside of the top ten, Avalanche’s AVAX slid 11%, while Shiba Inu’s SHIB lost just 2.5% despite being a relatively more volatile token. Ether (ETH) lost 3.2% amid falling demand for block space on Ethereum, suggesting lower development and on-chain activity.

Block space is the amount of transactional data that can be included in each block, with users paying ‘gas’ fees for doing so. Lower block demand generally means a fall in user activity on any particular network.

Further Downside

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode said in a note earlier this week that derivatives market suggested fear of further downside remains among investors.

“Poor price performance, fearful derivatives pricing, and exceedingly lacklustre demand for block-space on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, we can deduce that the demand side is likely to continue seeing headwinds,” Glassnode said.

Yields on a three-month rolling basis for futures hover over around 3.1% for both assets, which “is historically very low,” Glassnode said. Such yields are generated when there is mispricing between an asset’s spot and futures price. Traders go long on the underlying asset and short its, or a related asset’s, futures. The difference is pocketed.

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Yields on a popular bitcoin and ether futures trade have decreased steadily. (Glassnode)

However, lower yields give traders little reason to deploy capital and enter markets, which could mean further downside as new capital fails to bid up spot, and futures, prices. The capital could re-enter if broader markets provide low returns.

“[Yield] is now higher than the US 10yr Treasury yield of 2.78%, which may start giving investor capital a reason to re-enter the space,” Glassnode analysts said.

The bearish futures data came alongside options activity on bitcoin that suggested a bearish sentiment among traders, as reported earlier this week. The put/call ratio on bitcoin options reached 12-month-highs of over 0.72, indicating traders were hedging their portfolios against a move downwards.